Our AI model predicts Barcelona to win, giving Barcelona a
74.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 3–1,
with a 64.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Barcelona 74.6%Draw 15.6%Alaves 9.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
3–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals
64.1%
Under 2.5 goals
35.9%
Team rating (Elo)
1699 vs 1412
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Barcelona vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Barcelona to win — Barcelona 74.6%, draw 15.6%, Alaves 9.8%. Barcelona is the model's pick at 74.6%.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 3–1 (Barcelona 3, Alaves 1).
Will Barcelona vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 64.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.