La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
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Our AI model predicts Ath Madrid to win, giving Ath Madrid a
59.8% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 53.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Ath Madrid 59.8%Draw 22.1%Alaves 18.0%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.88 – 0.92
Over 2.5 goals
53.1%
Under 2.5 goals
46.9%
Team rating (Elo)
1554 vs 1422
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ath Madrid vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Ath Madrid to win — Ath Madrid 59.8%, draw 22.1%, Alaves 18.0%. Ath Madrid is the model's pick at 59.8%.
What is the predicted score for Ath Madrid vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Ath Madrid 2, Alaves 1).
Will Ath Madrid vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 53.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.