Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
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Our AI model predicts Man United to win, giving Man United a
52.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 58.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Man United 52.3%Draw 22.9%Leeds 24.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.83 – 1.19
Over 2.5 goals
58.0%
Under 2.5 goals
42.0%
Team rating (Elo)
1541 vs 1436
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Man United vs Leeds?
Our AI model favours Man United to win — Man United 52.3%, draw 22.9%, Leeds 24.8%. Man United is the model's pick at 52.3%.
What is the predicted score for Man United vs Leeds?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Man United 2, Leeds 1).
Will Man United vs Leeds have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.