Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
58.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 64.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 2–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 2.14 – 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36.0% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1623 vs 1494 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Liverpool vs Newcastle?
- Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Liverpool 58.5%, draw 22.8%, Newcastle 18.7%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 58.5%.
- What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Newcastle?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Liverpool 2, Newcastle 1).
- Will Liverpool vs Newcastle have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 64.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36.0% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.