Liverpool vs Man United Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
48.7% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 59.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Liverpool 48.7%Draw 23.2%Man United 28.1%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.78 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals
59.5%
Under 2.5 goals
40.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1556 vs 1555
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Man United?
Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Liverpool 48.7%, draw 23.2%, Man United 28.1%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 48.7%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Man United?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Liverpool 2, Man United 1).
Will Liverpool vs Man United have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.