Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
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Our AI model predicts Leeds to win, giving Leeds a
44.2% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 53.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leeds 44.2%Draw 24.9%Sunderland 31.0%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.56 – 1.26
Over 2.5 goals
53.6%
Under 2.5 goals
46.4%
Team rating (Elo)
1436 vs 1456
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Sunderland?
Our AI model favours Leeds to win — Leeds 44.2%, draw 24.9%, Sunderland 31.0%. Leeds is the model's pick at 44.2%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Sunderland?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Leeds 2, Sunderland 1).
Will Leeds vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 53.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.