Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Leeds to win, giving Leeds a
42.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 53.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leeds 42.5%Draw 25.0%Sunderland 32.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.52 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals
53.5%
Under 2.5 goals
46.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1425 vs 1470
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Sunderland?
Our AI model favours Leeds to win — Leeds 42.5%, draw 25.0%, Sunderland 32.5%. Leeds is the model's pick at 42.5%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Sunderland?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Leeds 2, Sunderland 1).
Will Leeds vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 53.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.