Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Man City to win, giving Man City a
51.4% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 58.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leeds 25.5%Draw 23.1%Man City 51.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.21 – 1.81
Over 2.5 goals
58.1%
Under 2.5 goals
41.9%
Team rating (Elo)
1425 vs 1642
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Man City?
Our AI model favours Man City to win — Leeds 25.5%, draw 23.1%, Man City 51.4%. Man City is the model's pick at 51.4%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Man City?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Leeds 1, Man City 2).
Will Leeds vs Man City have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.