Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
45.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 57.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leeds 27.3%Draw 26.7%Liverpool 45.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.27 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals
57.0%
Under 2.5 goals
43.0%
Team rating (Elo)
1464 vs 1623
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Liverpool?
Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Leeds 27.3%, draw 26.7%, Liverpool 45.9%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 45.9%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Liverpool?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Leeds 1, Liverpool 2).
Will Leeds vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 57.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43.0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.