Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
40.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 58.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Brighton 35.5%Draw 24.1%Liverpool 40.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.46 – 1.58
Over 2.5 goals
58.7%
Under 2.5 goals
41.3%
Team rating (Elo)
1489 vs 1556
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brighton vs Liverpool?
Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Brighton 35.5%, draw 24.1%, Liverpool 40.5%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 40.5%.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Liverpool?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Brighton 1, Liverpool 2).
Will Brighton vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.