Brentford vs Newcastle Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Brentford to win, giving Brentford a
44.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 59.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Brentford 44.0%Draw 23.8%Newcastle 32.2%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.67 – 1.39
Over 2.5 goals
59.0%
Under 2.5 goals
41.0%
Team rating (Elo)
1481 vs 1474
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brentford vs Newcastle?
Our AI model favours Brentford to win — Brentford 44.0%, draw 23.8%, Newcastle 32.2%. Brentford is the model's pick at 44.0%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Newcastle?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Brentford 2, Newcastle 1).
Will Brentford vs Newcastle have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.