Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction & Model Analysis

Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Aston Villa to win, giving Aston Villa a 56.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1, with a 59.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Aston Villa 56.1% Draw 21.9% Tottenham 22.0%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score2–1
Expected goals (xG)1.95 – 1.14
Over 2.5 goals59.7%
Under 2.5 goals40.3%
Team rating (Elo)1542 vs 1397

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aston Villa vs Tottenham?
Our AI model favours Aston Villa to win — Aston Villa 56.1%, draw 21.9%, Tottenham 22.0%. Aston Villa is the model's pick at 56.1%.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Tottenham?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Aston Villa 2, Tottenham 1).
Will Aston Villa vs Tottenham have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.