Know what the numbers say before kickoff.

AI-powered football match analysis, built on 150 years of data.

A statistical model covering the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, the Champions League and more — plus its completed World Cup 2026 run. Every call is published with a live accuracy record. Honest about what the data can and can't tell us.

Create free account → Sign in How it works

📊 Live track record — every prediction, on the record

—

Matches

—

Winner correct

—

Brier score

"Most prediction tools tell you who wins. Ours shows you the math behind every call."

Every match comes with a full probability breakdown: home/draw/away percentages, expected goals, and the most likely exact scorelines — all derived from the same Poisson model. We publish a live track record so you can see exactly how often the model is right, and how confident it should be when it's wrong.

Explore before you sign up

These pages are open to everyone — see the record and the method, then create a free account for the live predictions.

📈

Full track record

Every result — Brier, yield, CLV. Wins and losses, nothing hidden.

🏴

Premier League

Upcoming fixtures and the model's read for this round.

🇪🇸

La Liga

Spain's top flight, round by round.

⚙️

How it works

ELO, form and a Poisson goals model — no black box.

Ready to see what the numbers say?

Free for everyone. Every prediction, full probability tables, most-likely scorelines, the Asian-handicap read, and the complete track record — win or lose. Just create a free account.

Create free account → Sign in

📬 Weekly preview newsletter

Every weekend: model's view on the upcoming matches, recap of last week's hits and misses. Free.

What's under the hood

No black-box mysticism. Three components, calibrated from data.

📈

ELO Strength

Every team has a single rating that summarises their strength. World Cup wins shift it most; friendlies barely at all.

⏱

Recent Form

Last 10 matches, weighted so yesterday's result counts far more than one from six months ago. Friendlies count for half.

⚽

Poisson Goals

Expected-goals model converts attack and defence strengths into probabilities for every possible scoreline.

What you don't get

Predict surprises. A red card in minute 8, a goalkeeper howler, a freak deflection — none of this is in the data.
Capture motivation. A team that's already qualified plays differently from one that needs a result.
Read live tactics. Lineups, formations, substitutions — the model doesn't see any of these.