SP26 SOCCER PREDICTOR
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Bundesliga · TEAM ANALYSIS

Bundesliga: this week’s attacking and conceding conversion gaps

210 words About 1 min read

Ranked by cumulative goals minus xGF and conceded goals minus xGA. The labels describe gaps; they do not establish luck.

THE NUMBERS

THE NUMBERS
TeamGamesGoals / xGFGoals − xGFConceded / xGAConceded − xGA
Freiburg412 / 8.64+3.363 / 4.03-1.03
Union Berlin44 / 4.92-0.9217 / 12.86+4.14

THE GAP AND THE LEVEL

Freiburg have the highest goals-minus-xGF gap at +3.36. Union Berlin have the highest conceded-minus-xGA gap at +4.14.

Across 4 covered league matches, Freiburg have scored 12 and conceded 3, with 8.64 xGF and 4.03 xGA. Goals minus xGF are +3.36; conceded goals minus xGA are -1.03.

Across 4 covered league matches, Union Berlin have scored 4 and conceded 17, with 4.92 xGF and 12.86 xGA. Goals minus xGF are -0.92; conceded goals minus xGA are +4.14.

COVERAGE AND LIMITS

12 completed results have no matching verified xG; no missing values are estimated. Covered game counts may differ, so cumulative rankings must be read alongside appearances. Understat’s live endpoint was unavailable at publication; this feature uses the latest saved xG snapshot.

Team-level pre-shot xG cannot independently grade a goalkeeper or finishing ability and does not guarantee regression in the next match.

Descriptive statistics, not a guarantee of future results.

Sources and data