Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Norwich to win, giving Norwich a
39.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 56.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Burnley 35.9%Draw 24.6%Norwich 39.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.43 – 1.51
Over 2.5 goals
56.3%
Under 2.5 goals
43.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1288 vs 1296
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Norwich?
Our AI model favours Norwich to win — Burnley 35.9%, draw 24.6%, Norwich 39.5%. Norwich is the model's pick at 39.5%.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Norwich?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Burnley 1, Norwich 2).
Will Burnley vs Norwich have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 56.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.