Burnley vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Crystal Palace to win, giving Crystal Palace a
50.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 57.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Burnley 26.5%Draw 23.5%Crystal Palace 50.0%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.22 – 1.76
Over 2.5 goals
57.2%
Under 2.5 goals
42.8%
Team rating (Elo)
1288 vs 1446
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Crystal Palace?
Our AI model favours Crystal Palace to win — Burnley 26.5%, draw 23.5%, Crystal Palace 50.0%. Crystal Palace is the model's pick at 50.0%.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Crystal Palace?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Burnley 1, Crystal Palace 2).
Will Burnley vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 57.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.