Liverpool vs Leicester Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
74.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 3–1,
with a 67.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Liverpool 74.6%Draw 15.2%Leicester 10.2%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
3–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.61 – 0.87
Over 2.5 goals
67.6%
Under 2.5 goals
32.4%
Team rating (Elo)
1556 vs 1306
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Leicester?
Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Liverpool 74.6%, draw 15.2%, Leicester 10.2%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 74.6%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Leicester?
The model's most likely scoreline is 3–1 (Liverpool 3, Leicester 1).
Will Liverpool vs Leicester have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 67.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 32.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.